Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 6.908674 8.037510 9.256285 10.665577 12.245693 13.958090 15.949476
2026-01-18 5.137699 6.587115 8.273820 10.364830 12.869467 15.754654 19.309761
2026-01-25 4.084718 5.656167 7.594864 10.128492 13.314963 17.150524 22.073218
2026-02-01 3.323470 4.927607 7.010443 9.858196 13.589157 18.245440 24.421694
2026-02-08 2.753335 4.349126 6.520295 9.611481 13.809757 19.215934 26.591630
2026-02-15 2.282697 3.833217 6.039056 9.301057 13.880742 19.948298 28.438177
2026-02-22 2.009304 3.562156 5.859385 9.369446 14.438171 21.315817 31.143077
2026-03-01 1.772392 3.311827 5.676246 9.402349 14.926289 22.588412 33.748376
2026-03-08 1.581366 3.107379 5.535908 9.475044 15.458010 23.925242 36.473566
2026-03-15 1.403541 2.899908 5.366219 9.480607 15.877211 25.104905 39.006397
2026-03-22 1.298413 2.804274 5.363499 9.737725 16.675184 26.846828 42.383278
2026-03-29 1.194932 2.697415 5.329438 9.935975 17.384109 28.475940 45.642377
2026-04-05 1.073374 2.542676 5.202186 9.976070 17.853705 29.778372 48.488650
2026-04-12 0.917496 2.298233 4.892902 9.685541 17.776533 30.248138 50.114572
2026-04-19 0.791886 2.095749 4.637033 9.461800 17.785369 30.836272 51.921375
2026-04-26 0.679145 1.902325 4.376738 9.206175 17.719333 31.294164 53.531681
2026-05-03 0.583833 1.731575 4.140985 8.972919 17.670745 31.766929 55.166853
2026-05-10 0.495229 1.560509 3.885156 8.679516 17.496264 32.021955 56.458948
2026-05-17 0.449871 1.487690 3.822582 8.744147 17.945213 33.295862 59.384321
2026-05-24 0.406452 1.412313 3.746463 8.775243 18.332250 34.476266 62.188737
2026-05-31 0.370363 1.350140 3.692250 8.843951 18.786863 35.779263 65.220816
2026-06-07 0.333458 1.278865 3.610097 8.849209 19.122446 36.889157 67.964970
2026-06-14 0.315459 1.259263 3.643712 9.092268 19.907207 38.781368 72.032957